- What are managed futures?
- Who should invest in managed futures?
- Are managed futures suitable for everyone?
- Are managed futures a good short term investment?
- Is it true that futures trading is very risky?
- What is a hedge fund?
- What is a Fund of Hedge Funds (FoF)?
- How are managed futures different from a hedge fund or FoF?
- Will adding managed futures diversify my portfolio?
- What is a Managed Futures Account?
- What are Commodity Trading Advisors?
- What type of investors utilize managed accounts?
- What has been responsible for the growth in
managed futures trading?
- How are profitability, volatility and risk
affected when managed
futures are included in an investment portfolio?
- All things considered, why can investment
portfolio performance be
improved by including managed futures?
- Does having a managed futures account lessen
the risk in futures trading?
- Can you give an example of "Leverage"?
- Couldn't the trade have resulted in a loss?
- How does the performance of managed futures
accounts compare to
self-directed accounts?
- Has the advantage of managed futures trading
been increasing in recent years, and if so, why?
- Are there other reasons why managed accounts
are generally more profitable?
- Don't trading advisors differ from one another
in their investment results??
- How do you choose an advisor to invest with?
- What should be considered when checking an
advisor's track record?
- Which futures markets would I be trading in
with a managed account?
- How do advisors differ in their investment
approaches?
- Where will me money be when I establish a
managed account?
- Is a managed futures account subject to
performance bond calls?
- Do managed accounts have any automatic
provisions to limit losses?
- Who regulates Commodity Trading Advisors (CTA's)?
- On an on-going basis, how will I know the
status of my account?
- With trading directed by an advisor, is the
choice of a brokerage
firm still important?
- What mistakes to investors sometimes make
regarding managed
futures accounts?
- How do trading advisors get paid?
- Is there a minimum investment needed to
establish an account?
- Are there any restrictions on withdrawing funds
from the account?
- Any final words?
What are managed futures?
Managed futures are a type of alternative investment established to trade in
global futures, options and forex markets in which successful performance does
not depend on continued upward movement in traditional equity or bond markets.
Unlike other futures accounts, however, in a managed futures account a
professional trader known as a commodities trading advisor (CTA) is responsible
for determining what trades to make and when, pursuant to a power-of-attorney or
limited trading authorization.
Who should invest in managed futures?
We believe that many investors, including individuals, corporations and
institutional investors, can benefit from including managed futures in their
portfolios because managed futures, as an asset class, can provide valuable
diversification to a traditional portfolio of equities and fixed income
investments.
Are managed futures suitable for everyone?
The simple answer is “No”. Although managed futures can provide badly needed
portfolio diversification to many portfolios, only investors with risk capital
who understand and can deal with the risks and rewards involved in trading
futures should invest in managed futures.
Are managed futures a good short term investment?
Because futures markets tend to be cyclical, we recommend that investors hold
a managed account, commodity pool or futures fund investment for at least two to
three years and treat managed futures as a “core” investment instead of as a
short term trading opportunity.
Is it true that futures trading is very risky?
Many people feel that futures trading is risky primarily because of the
amount of leverage available to futures traders. For example, it only takes
$4,000 in initial margins to trade a contract worth approximately $50,000 of the
mini S&P 500, so the leverage available is 12:1. Because many investors who
trade for themselves or use the services of a broker do not know how to take
advantage of the leverage available or manage their risk exposure, they tend to
lose money. That is why it makes sense to delegate responsibility for trading
futures and forex to a registered CTA who follows the markets on a full-time
basis and knows how to use leverage appropriately as part of an overall strategy
for trading these markets. Furthermore, because managed futures are a separate
asset class and are not correlated to traditional markets, portfolios including
managed futures may be more diversified than those without managed futures.
Comparisons of the futures indices to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq show that futures
can actually reduce volatility and provide for more stable returns.
What is a hedge fund?
Hedge funds use a broad range of investment styles, strategies and techniques
to trade different asset classes and financial instruments to try to make
profits for their investors. Hedge fund managers provide expertise in managing
risk and portfolio management and their returns are largely due to their talent
and skill instead of general appreciation in the asset classes traded.
Theoretically, hedge funds can generate positive returns independent of what
happens in the stock and bond markets. Hedge fund managers often invest their
own money in the funds they manage. Individual hedge funds tend to trade a
limited number of strategies and many of them focus on just one strategy. Some
of the strategies used by hedge fund managers include:
• Commodities and futures
• Distressed securities
• Equities - balanced long/short
• Equities - either long/short
• Equities- short
• Equities – trading
• International opportunistic
• International regional
• Industry sector
• Strategic block
• Relative value
• Convertible Arbitrage
• Statistical Arbitrage
• Mergers and reorganizations
Hedge funds are usually bought by sophisticated investors on a private placement
basis. They are organized to provide investors with flow through tax treatment
of profits/losses and limited liability. Hedge funds are usually organized and
managed on a day-to-day basis by the traders responsible for implementing the
fund’s strategies who are, in turn, paid management and incentive fees by the
fund. Hedge fund managers are usually exempt from having to register with the
SEC.
What is a Fund of Hedge Funds (FoF)?
A FoF invests in multiple underlying hedge funds in an attempt to achieve
greater portfolio diversification and better returns by spreading investment
risk over a number of managers and strategies. FoFs are generally structured as
privately placed unregistered investment companies, although some FoFs register
as investment companies with the SEC without registering under the Securities
Act of 1933.
How are managed futures different from a hedge fund or FoF?
In answering this question it might be easier to point
out the similarities between the managed futures, hedge funds and FoFs before
discussing the differences. All of these investments provide:
• Diversification to a typical portfolio of stocks and bonds
• Professional investment management
• Access to different investment strategies, styles, and markets
• Returns that are highly dependent on the talent and skill of specific managers
instead of general market appreciation.
In addition to these shared characteristics, managed
futures offers greater accessibility, transparency, liquidity and security than
most hedge funds and FoFs.
• Managed futures trading is more accessible to investors
because it has lower commitment requirements than many other alternative
investments.
Most alternative investments require a bigger capital commitment and offer far
less liquidity than managed futures. Investors can open managed futures accounts
and add additional capital to an account anytime they want. Most commodity pools
and futures funds accept subscriptions from new investors and additional capital
contributions from existing investors’ capital every month. Many hedge funds and
FoFs, on the other hand, are closed to new investment once they raise enough
capital to begin doing business or only accept new capital contributions
annually or quarterly after they begin trading.
• Managed futures generally provide greater transparency
than hedge funds and FoFs.
• Managed futures may have greater liquidity than hedge
funds and FoFs.
Futures contracts (generally) are highly liquid and can usually be bought or
sold in a matter of seconds. The only exception to this rule is when prices are
very volatile and a contract trades through its daily price limit or stock
prices trigger a “circuit breaker” between the equities markets and futures
markets. Since the interbank currency market is one of the biggest markets in
the world and is open 24/7, it is also incredibly liquid. Therefore, it is
usually easy to open, roll or offset a futures contract or currency position.
OTC derivative contracts, on the other hand, may be complicated and costly to
close out early if a hedge fund manager needs to liquidate a position before it
is due to expire.
• Managed futures may provide investors greater security
than hedge funds and FoFs.
Capital invested in with a FCM in a managed futures accounts is all held in
customer segregated funds account (Seg Account). CFTC Regulations prohibit FCM’s
from using Seg Account funds in the conduct of their business or commingling
those funds with the FCM’s own funds. Therefore, Seg Accounts may provide
greater security for customer assets than many bank or securities brokerage
accounts used by hedge funds and FoFs.
Will adding managed futures diversify my portfolio?
It is impossible to answer this question because
portfolio holdings and investment objectives vary from one customer to another.
Modern Portfolio Theory suggests that a portfolio containing low correlated,
positive performing investments usually produces better risk-adjusted returns
than any of the portfolios underlying individual investments. Research indicates
that managed futures have been negatively correlated to traditional portfolios
of stocks and bonds when they experience prolonged losses, and positively
correlated when they experience sustained gains. If that’s true, adding managed
futures to a traditional portfolio of stocks and bonds should reduce overall
volatility while improving overall returns.
What is a Managed Futures Account?
A Professionally Managed Futures Account
is a discretionary account where you give permission to a Commodity Trading
Advisor (CTA) to make all trading decisions on your behalf through a revocable
power of attorney or a third party trading authorization.
Investing in a managed account relieves
you of the concerns associated with trading aspect of investing i.e. market
timing, asset allocation, stop loss protection, etc. You make the large
decisions of who to authorize to manage your account and how much risk capital
to invest. To facilitate this, you review ranking, profile, and performance
measurement reports and of course the individual CTAs disclosure document to
screen and qualify the investment for your particular situation.
What are Commodity Trading Advisors?
CTAs are professional traders known as a "Commodity
Trading Advisors". Traders with this designation are required by the US
Government to submit a disclosure document which outlines who he or she is,
states the fees and expenses charged to accounts and reveals the trader's
performance track record. Additionally, information on the Advisor's trading
program are explained, as well as any conflicts of interest or disciplinary
history that may be material.
What type of investors utilize managed accounts?
It's traditionally been individual investors seeking the
profit opportunities of futures trading but without the responsibility and
demands of day-to-day account management. Recently, however, growing numbers of
corporate and institutional investors have been allocating some portion of their
total portfolio assets to specially designed and professionally managed futures
trading programs. The total amount of capital in managed futures programs is
estimated to exceed $180 billion.
What has been responsible for the growth in
managed futures trading?
A variety of things. As traditional
investment markets have become increasingly volatile - and vulnerable to
often-unexpected events institutional money managers and other sophisticated
investors have sought to more effectively manage overall portfolio risk through
diversification. Indeed, risk and diversification are major concerns in today's
market environment -- along with, of course, yield.
A number of studies indicate that a
portfolio that includes managed futures can yield an appreciably higher and more
stable return over time than a portfolio that includes only stocks and bonds.
The same evidence indicates this can be achieved without added risk. (See next
question.)
Still another factor in the growth of
managed futures has been the tremendous broadening of futures markets to
encompass stock indexes, debt instruments, currencies, and options as well as
conventional commodities. This has created whole new categories of profit
opportunities. The increasingly global nature of today's futures markets also
has expanded the scope of investment opportunities.
Finally, from the standpoint of an
individual investor, managed futures accounts have proven to be considerably
more profitable on the average than accounts that individuals trade on their
own. (See Question: How does the performance of managed futures accounts compare
with those of self-directed accounts?.)
How are profitability, volatility and risk
affected when managed
futures are included in an investment portfolio?
Harvard Business School Professor John E.
Lintner found that including managed futures in a portfolio "reduces volatility
while enhancing return." And that such portfolios "have substantially less risk
at every possible level of return than portfolios of stocks, or stocks and
bonds.
For the period January 1, 1980 to December
31, 1998, data show that managed futures investments (as measured by the Barclay
CTA Index) had a compound annual return of 15.8%. That compares very favourably
with the 17.7% return that common stocks had during the same period, one of the
strongest stock markets in U.S. history. Further, it exceeded the 11.8% compound
return on bonds.
Moreover, during a similar period (Jan 1,
1980 to Dec 31, 1997), analysis showed that a portfolio that was comprised of
some managed had similar profitability with far less risk.
All things considered, why can investment
portfolio performance be
improved by including managed futures?
There's no single reason, but high on the
list is that managed futures may perform best when other investments are
performing relatively poorly. On the occasions of the S&P 500's two worst
declines during the past decade, managed futures recorded net profits of 9.7%
and 18.6%. A study by University of Massachusetts Finance Professor Thomas
Schneeweis compared the S&P's worst 12 months and best 12 months since 1985 and
found that managed futures posted gains during both periods.
An important advantage of futures is the
opportunity they provide to respond swiftly on a highly leveraged basis whenever
and wherever in the financial and commodity markets major price movements occur
-- either upward or downward -- and to do so without liquidating other
investment holdings or adding to overall portfolio risk.
Does having a managed futures account lessen
the risk in futures trading?
There is no method of futures trading that
doesn't involve risk. The same leverage and price movements that can produce
trading profits can produce trading losses. Indeed, any loss that can occur when
an individual directs his own account also can occur in a professionally managed
futures account.
Having said this, however, one of the
things that should obviously be looked for in a trading advisor is a long-term
demonstrated ability to manage risks. More about this later. (Also see
discussion of loss limiting provisions of managed accounts addressed in the
Question: "Do managed accounts have any automatic provision to limit losses?"
Can you give an example of "Leverage"?
If you are already familiar with the
arithmetic of futures, this will be nothing new to you. Still, an example
illustrates the reason for having some part of a total investment portfolio
positioned to participate in profit opportunities as when there are significant
price movements virtually anywhere in the economy.
Example: Assume there are indications that
the U.S. dollar will increase in value. Consequently, the value of a Swiss franc
is expected to drop from 65.00 cents to perhaps only 60.00 cents. With a
performance bond deposit of about $10,000, you could establish a short position
in 6 Swiss franc futures. (Each Swiss franc futures contract equals 125,000
Swiss francs.) If the price declines by the expected 5.00 cents, the profit on
the $10,000 performance bond deposit will be $37,500 (.05 x 125,000 x 6). That's
leverage.
Now take the example one step further and
assume the $10,000 performance bond deposit was part of a $50,000 managed
futures account and that you also have $150,000 in stock and bond investments
with an average annual return of 12%. Even if the Swiss franc contracts
represented the total net futures profit for the year, a $37,500 gain would
double the overall portfolio return for the year. Yet only 5% of the total
$200,000 portfolio was invested in the futures positions. In the context of
portfolio management, that's the significance of leverage.
Couldn't the trade have resulted in a loss?
Obviously yes, if the Swiss franc futures price had risen
rather than declined. For each 1.00 cent of price increase prior to the
liquidation of each futures contract, there would have been a $1,250 loss per
contract. Hopefully, a disciplined trading advisor would have liquidated the
positions to limit the loss once it became apparent that prices were not moving
in the expected direction.
How does the performance of managed futures
accounts compare to
self-directed accounts?
Some individual investors -- those who
have the know-how, time, access to information, and necessary temperament -- are
highly successful in directing their own futures trading. Unfortunately,
however, the record suggests that only a small percentage of "do-it-yourself"
futures traders possess these requisites for success. Studies indicate that
somewhere between two out of three and nine out of ten lose money.
However, of the 119 funds and pools in the
Managed Account Reports Fund/Pool Qualified Universe Index that traded from
January 1990 through October 1996, 81% were profitable over the full time
period.
Has the advantage of managed futures trading
been increasing in recent years, and if so, why?
Most industry experts agree this has been
the case, due in large measure to the increasing complexity of financial markets
in general and futures markets in particular. With the complexities have come
additional strategies for fine-tuning risk-reward relationships, and for using
futures in conjunction with a wide array of other financial products. Recently
created worldwide market linkages have likewise placed a premium on the ability
to quickly analyze and act on vast amounts of information. These are
capabilities that professional management is generally best able to provide.
For example, most successful trading
advisors monitor a large number of different markets and market relationships
simultaneously and continuously. This can translate into a faster response to
profit opportunities and an earlier warning to retreat from unattractive market
positions.
Are there other reasons why managed accounts
are generally more profitable?
The growing complexity of the markets is
one factor but by no means the only factor. As in most areas of investment,
trading experience and trading skills are ultimately major determinants of
trading success. Profitable futures trading requires the discipline and
temperament to respond to market realities if and when they conflict with market
expectations. It requires a keen knowledge of when and how to establish
positions and when and how to liquidate them. It requires the development and
implementation of carefully considered trading strategies -- a trading plan and
a trading system.
And the list goes on. Effective account
diversification demands an insightful understanding of how various markets react
with and to one another. Otherwise, attempts to diversify could prove illusory.
Even institutional and corporate portfolio managers who may have experience in
futures -- such as for hedging applications -- generally choose to use
professional advisors to manage their futures trading investments. For most
individual investors, the advantages can be even greater.
Don't trading advisors differ from one another
in their investment results?
Definitely. In any given year, some will recite impressive
profits and others will incur losses. Still others will occupy the full range of
everywhere in between. The success of your managed account will depend on the
success of the advisor you select.
How do you choose an advisor to invest with?
There are a variety of things to consider
but in the final analysis it will come down to a judgment call -- yours! It will
be a matter of gathering and considering information, asking questions, and
choosing on the basis of your confidence in the advisor's experience and
ability.
Begin by visiting with futures specialists
at the brokerage firm where you are considering establishing an account. Firms
that offer managed account programs generally screen the qualifications of
dozens of different trading advisors to narrow the list to a few that they feel
most confident in recommending at a particular time.
Persons registered with the Commodity
Futures Trading Commission as Commodity Trading Advisors are required to provide
detailed "Disclosure Documents" to prospective clients. These are similar to a
prospectus and contain a wealth of information about the advisor, his
experience, approach to futures trading, and trading results. Take time to read
them.
What should be considered when checking an
advisor's track record?
As the ads and prospectuses are required
to state, past performance is no guarantee of future results. An advisor who has
performed well in the past may perform poorly in the future. And it is possible
that someone who has performed poorly may begin to perform well. This
notwithstanding, in any endeavor some individuals are obviously better at what
they do than others and a track record is at least an indication of past
performance.
In addition, a track record can provide
other valuable information about an advisor's experience, approach to trading,
and amount of money under management. You'll also want to note whether
performance data included in the disclosure document refers to actual trading
results or to "hypothetical" or "simulated" results. Make your own decision
about whether to invest in an untested trading system that may be based solely
on market hindsight.
Thus, should you consider an advisor's
past performance? Certainly, provided you understand its limitations and
provided it's not the only thing you consider.
Which futures markets would I be trading in
with a managed account?
This will be determined by your trading advisor and in
all likelihood it will be different markets at different times.
How do advisors differ in their investment
approaches?
One way is in how aggressively or
conservatively they participate in the markets. There also could be differences
in which markets they trade. Some specialize in particular areas -- such as
financial instruments, metals, or agricultural products while others pursue
profit opportunities wherever they appear to exist. If you have a preference for
a particular approach, this should be taken into account.
Another difference is whether the advisor
employs a "fundamental" or "technical" trading system. Fundamental meaning that
trading decisions are based principally on supply and demand, and technical
meaning that the markets themselves are continuously analysed for signals to
future price direction.
Even then, different advisors have
developed and employ different systems and may read the markets differently.
Moreover, the fundamental-technical distinction has broken down somewhat as
fundamental advisors frequently employ computerized tools to pinpoint the timing
of their trading decisions.
Where will me money be when I establish a
managed account?
It will be with the brokerage firm where you have your
account. While the trading advisor will direct trading for the account, all
other account functions are performed by your brokerage firm, including custody
of funds in a segregated customer account.
Is a managed futures account subject to
performance bond calls?
A performance bond call is a request from the broker to
deposit additional funds to the account, generally to cover losses on open
positions; any futures account, managed or otherwise, is subject to them.
However, a major objective of professional trading advisors is to manage and
diversify their clients' investments in a way that will avoid the necessity for
performance bond calls. You may want to inquire about whether all of your funds
will be committed to the market at any one point in time.
Do managed accounts have any automatic
provisions to limit losses?
If so, this will be described in the disclosure document.
A loss of more than some given percentage, or losses that reduce the account
value below a specified dollar amount, may trigger the liquidation of all
currently open positions and a subsequent closing of the account. This "safety
valve" feature is clearly one of the things to inquire about when you are
considering establishing an account. Keep in mind, however, that no one can
guarantee an absolute limit to the extent of losses any more than they can
guarantee a given level of profit. Performance, it bears repeating, hinges on
the success of your trading advisor.
Who regulates Commodity Trading Advisors (CTA's)?
They are regulated by the federal
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and by the National Futures
Association (NFA), the congressionally authorized self-regulatory organization
of the futures industry. All trading advisors must be registered with the CFTC
and those who manage customer accounts must be members of NFA**.
Advisors' disclosure documents are
required to be submitted to the CFTC for review in advance of distribution to
prospective investors. On an ongoing basis, NFA audits disclosure documents
(particularly performance information), promotional materials, and trading
activities. Violations of CFTC or NFA rules can result in a loss of trading
privileges and other penalties.
On an on-going basis, how will I know the
status of my account?
Your brokerage firm will provide the same timely reports
you'd receive if you were directing your own account. This includes immediate
mailed reports of all purchases and sales, a marked-to-the-market valuation of
open positions, and a month-end summary of transactions, gains, losses, open
positions, and current account value. Your broker, of course, will have the same
information, updated at least daily.
With trading directed by an advisor, is the
choice of a brokerage
firm still important?
It's no less important than in any other
investment relationship. On a day-to-day basis, the brokerage firm may be
monitoring and evaluating the advisor’s performance even more closely than you
will. In addition, although the advisor directs trading for your account, it is
generally your brokerage firm that will execute the trades, and manage all "back
office operations" regarding your account.
Thus, it's important to know you are doing
business with a firm that has the resources and skills to compete effectively in
today's markets. Some do, better than others. And intangibly, but by no means
least, it's important to have a high comfort level with the broker you'll be
working with.
What mistakes to investors sometimes make
regarding managed
futures accounts?
Three probably top the list. First, the
fact that a managed account approach may be more attractive than a
do-it-yourself trading approach doesn't mean futures trading in any form is
necessarily appropriate for a given person. Because risk is the constant shadow
of the pursuit of profit, it's definitely not appropriate for everyone. Unless
you're confident it's appropriate for you, don't invest at all.
Second, as already mentioned, choosing an
advisor for the wrong reasons can be a costly mistake. Selecting solely on the
basis of "who's hot and who's not" usually leads to flawed decisions.
Third, investors prone to "account
jumping" frequently jump the wrong way. This doesn't mean the advisor you start
with should forever be the advisor you stay with, but it does mean -- and the
records document it -- that accounts maintained over a longer period of time
tend to perform appreciably better than accounts that are in short-term parking.
That's all the more reason for your initial decision to be carefully considered.
How do trading advisors get paid?
Normally through a periodic management fee that's some
percentage of the amount of money under management, plus an incentive fee that's
a given percentage of net profits earned for the account during a given period.
This will be described in the disclosure document. Some may charge only one type
of fee or the other. And if the fee is a combination of the two, different
advisors weight it in different ways. Naturally, management expenses as well as
brokerage commissions are topics to discuss.
Is there a minimum investment needed to
establish an account?
Yes, but different managed account programs have different
minimums. At the least, it will be an amount the advisor and brokerage firm -
given the trading approach utilized - consider adequate to achieve account
diversification. Minimum account size also may be affected by whether the
managed account program is designed principally to serve individual investors or
institution/corporate clients.
Are there any restrictions on withdrawing funds
from the account?
In a private managed account program -- as distinct from a
commodity pool or fund -- the only restriction is usually that you do not make
withdrawals below the minimum required investment. You will, however, be free to
withdraw all funds after liquidation of any open positions. This can be done at
any time of your choosing unless the account agreement you've signed stipulates
otherwise. Similarly, if there are profits in the account, you are free to
withdraw them or leave the money available for reinvestment.
Any final words?
Only that if you decide futures trading is an appropriate
investment, give careful thought to the advantages of a managed account
approach. And that you choose your trading advisor with considerable care. For
the right investors, teamed with the right advisors, today's futures markets are
providing increasingly attractive and diverse investment opportunities. Perhaps
you should consider them.
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